We are looking at AUD/JPY 1h chart and we see bearish gartley forming 61.8/127 convergence at passed support becoming resistance area at 77.65. We will plan a sell entry at 77.62 with bearish CF confirmation and will place the stop above the CF:
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Weekly Chart:
Daily Chart:
4H CHART
ASIA:
9:30 pm – AUD – Home Loans m/m. Expected 0.1%, Previous -1.8%. Lower than expected numbers can drive the AUD to Lower levels.
EUROPE:
4:30 am – GBP – Final GDP q/q. Expected 0.3%, Previous 0.3%. Higher than expected numbers can drive the GBP to higher levels.
USA:
10:00 am – USD- Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
10:30 am – CAD – BOC Business Outlook Survey
EUROPE:
4:30 am – GBP – CPI y/y. Expected 3.2%, Previous 3.4%. Lower than expected numbers can drive the GBP to Lower levels.
5:00 am – EUR – German ZEW Economic Sentiment. Expected 25.2, Previous 28.7. Lower than expected numbers can drive the EUR to Lower levels.
US:
8:30 am – CAD – Trade Balance. Expected 0.4B, Previous 0.2B%. Higher than expected numbers can drive the CAD to higher levels.
8:30 am – USD – Trade Balance. Expected -39.4B, Previous -40.3B. Higher than expected numbers can drive the USD to higher levels.
ASIA:
6:45 pm – NZD – Retail Sales m/m. Expected 0.6%, Previous -0.3%. Lower than expected numbers can drive the NZD to Lower levels.
11:05 pm – AUD – RBA Gov Stevens Speaks.
EUROPE:
4:30 am – GBP – Claimant Count Change. Expected -20.2K, Previous -30.9K. Higher than expected numbers can drive the GBP to higher levels.
US:
8:30 am – USD – Core Retail Sales m/m. Expected -0.1%, Previous -1.1%. Higher than expected numbers can drive the USD to higher levels.
8:30 am – USD – Retail Sales m/m. Expected -0.1%, Previous -1.2%. Lower than expected numbers can drive the USD to Lower levels.
2:00 pm – USD – FOMC Meeting Minutes.
ASIA:
9:30 pm – CNY – Employment Change. Expected 15.3K, Previous 26.9K. Lower than expected numbers can strengthen the JPY.
9:30 pm – CNY – Unemployment Rate. Expected 5.2%, Previous 5.2%. Lower than expected numbers can strengthen the JPY.
TENTATIVE – JPY – BOJ Press Conference.
US:
8:30 am – USD – PPI m/m. Expected -0.2%, Previous -0.3%. Lower than expected numbers can drive the USD to Lower levels.
8:30 am – USD – Unemployment Claims. Expected 453K, Previous 454K. Lower than expected numbers can drive the USD to Lower levels.
10:00 am – USD – Fed Gov Nomination Hearings.
10:00 am – USD – Philly Fed Manufacturing Index. Expected 11.4, Previous 8.0. Lower than expected numbers can drive the USD to Lower levels.
ASIA:
6:45 pm – NZD – CPI q/q. Expected 0.5%, Previous 0.4%. Lower than expected numbers can drive the NZD to Lower levels.
US:
8:30 am – USD – Core CPI m/m. Expected 0.1%, Previous 0.1%. Lower than expected numbers can drive the USD to Lower levels.
9:00 am – USD – TIC Long-Term Purchases. Expected 73.7B, Previous 83.0B. Lower than expected numbers can drive the USD to Lower levels.
9:55 am – USD – Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment. Expected 74.1, Previous 76.0. Lower than expected numbers can drive the USD to Lower levels.
We are looking at AUD/JPY 10 min chart. The employment data for Australia came out way above expectations. We would expect AUD to climb higher. There is 10 min bullish Pennant formed on 10 min chart we will plan a buy stop at 77.35:
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EUROPE:
3:15 am – CHF – Retail Sales y/y. Expected 2.7%, Previous 1.3%. Higher than expected numbers can drive the CHF to higher levels.
4:30 am – GBP – Services PMI. Expected 55.1, Previous 55.4. Higher than expected numbers can drive the GBP to higher levels.
USA:
US BANK WILL BE CLOSED FOR A HOLIDAY.
ASIA:
6:00 pm – NZD – NZIER Business Confidence. Previous 22.
9:30 pm – AUD – Trade Balance. Expected 0.55B, Previous 0.13B. Lower than expected numbers can drive the AUD to Lower levels.
EUROPE:
12:30 am – AUD – Cash Rate. Expected 4.50%, Previous 4.50%. Lower than expected numbers can drive the AUD to Lower levels.
12:30 am – AUD – RBA Rate Statement.
US:
8:30 am – CAD – Building Permits m/m. Expected -0.4%, Previous 5.4%. Higher than expected numbers can drive the CAD to higher levels
10:00 am – USD – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Expected 55.2, Previous 55.4. Lower than expected numbers can drive the USD to Lower levels.
US:
8:30 am – CAD – Ivey PMI. Expected 64.2, Previous 62.7. Higher than expected numbers can drive the CAD to higher levels.
ASIA:
9:30 pm – AUD – Employment Change. Expected 15.3K, Previous 26.9K. Lower than expected numbers can drive the AUD to Lower levels.
9:30 pm – AUD – Unemployment Rate. Expected 5.2%, Previous 5.2%. Lower than expected numbers can drive the AUD to Lower levels.
EUROPE:
4:30 am – GBP – Manufacturing Production m/m. Expected 0.5%, Previous -0.4%. Higher than expected numbers can drive the GBP to higher levels.
Tentative – GBP – Asset Purchase Facility. Expected 200B, Previous 200B. Higher than expected numbers can drive the GBP to higher levels.
Tentative – GBP – MPC Rate Statement.
7:00 am – GBP – Official Bank Rate. Expected 0.50%, Previous 0.50%. Higher than expected numbers can drive the GBP to higher levels.
8:30 am – EUR – ECB Press Conference.
US:
8:30 am – USD – Unemployment Claims. Expected 461K, Previous 472K. Lower than expected numbers can drive the USD to Lower levels.
EUROPE:
4:30 am – GBP – PPI Input m/m. Expected 0.2%, Previous -0.6%. Higher than expected numbers can drive the GBP to higher levels.
US:
7:00 am – CAD – Employment Change. Expected 20.3K. Previous 24.7K. Lower than expected numbers can drive the CAD to higher levels.
7:00 am – CAD – Unemployment Rate. Expected 8.1%. Previous 8.1%. Lower than expected numbers can drive the CAD to higher levels.
8:15 am – CAD – Housing Starts. Expected 194K. Previous 189K. Lower than expected numbers can drive the CAD to higher levels.
